IvyArcIvyArc
11

Trickle Charge

3yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 66

Fairview · Betway Maiden Plate · 7f 210y

#3

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

2%

Place Prob

8%

Rank

#3

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

10/1 and tongue strap on for 1st time, fifth of 8 in maiden at this course (7f, good to soft) 35 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Fairview 29/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 5f212y Std 13229/05C8C8 @ Fairview 26/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR - · 6f211y Std 12626/06C8C8 @ Fairview 28/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 6f211y GS 12928/08C8projClass-projected finish: 8th of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-28Fairview?5th5th0
2026-06-26Fairview?6th6th0
2026-05-29Fairview?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/0526/0628/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1140% of fieldRange 6-11 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength23%

Delivery trend +17.9% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/05/20265th3/184%33%-0.51
26/06/20266th6/168%17%-0.52
28/08/20265th8/158%43%-0.15