5

Fonte

4yo Filly · 9-6 · OR 62

Fairview · Betway Fm 66 Handicap (F & M) · 7f 210y

#1

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

68%

Place Prob

49%

Rank

#1

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Didn't need to improve to win 8-runner maiden (2/1) at this course (7f, good to soft) 35 days ago. Makes handicap debut. Needs a couple of these to falter.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength5%

What the class read says

Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.

Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 4.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: -0.9
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Durbanville 03/09/2025 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR - · 4f214y Gd 1323/09C8C8 @ Fairview 13/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR - · 4f214y Gd 127C8 @ Fairview 22/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 5f212y Std 12722/04C8C8 @ Fairview 22/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 5f212y Std 132C8 @ Fairview 12/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 6f211y Std 13212/06C8C8 @ Fairview 03/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 6f211y Std 127C8 @ Fairview 07/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 6f211y Sft 1327/08C8C8 @ Fairview 28/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 6f211y GS 12928/08C8projClass-projected finish: 4th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-28Fairview?1st2nd−1
2026-08-07Fairview?6th7th−1
2026-07-03Fairview?2nd3rd−1
2026-06-12Fairview?4th5th−1
2026-05-22Fairview?2nd3rd−1
2026-04-22Fairview?3rd4th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/0922/057/0828/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1180% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength60%

Delivery trend -6.1% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 3rd of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/09/202512th25/10%0%0.00
13/03/20266th28/10%62%+0.62
22/04/20263rd16/116%71%+0.56
22/05/20262nd18/15%90%+0.85
12/06/20264th11/486%63%-0.23
03/07/20262nd5/287%88%+0.01
07/08/20266th11/142%44%+0.02
28/08/20261st13/891%100%+0.09