10
Gutsy Baby
4yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 23
Fairview · Betway Fm 66 Handicap (F & M) · 7f 210y
#10
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength44%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 6.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.4
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | Fairview | ? | 11th | 11th | +0 |
| 2026-09-09 | Fairview | ? | 5th | 5th | +0 |
| 2026-08-21 | Fairview | ? | 6th | 6th | +0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Fairview | ? | 8th | 8th | +0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Fairview | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-01 | Fairview | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 110% of fieldRange 9-11 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -3.1% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/05/2026 | 12th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 12/06/2026 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 24/06/2026 | 3rd | 17/2 | 55% | 75% | +0.20 |
| 01/07/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 03/07/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 07/08/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 21/08/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 09/09/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 30/09/2026 | 11th | 100/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |