11

Ice Cap

6yo Mare · 8-5 · OR 32

Fairview · Betway Fm 66 Handicap (F & M) · 7f 210y

#7

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Course winner. One win from 37 Flat runs. Fifth of 10 in handicap (20/1) at Fairview (7f) 37 days ago. Can give a good account without posing serious threat to principals.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength41%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 5.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC7 @ Fairview 07/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 6f102y Std 121 · HIGHER CLASS7/11C7C7 @ Fairview 12/12/2025 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 6f211y Std 126C7 @ Fairview 23/01/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 5f212y Std 121 · HIGHER CLASS23/01C7C7 @ Fairview 03/04/2026 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 117 · HIGHER CLASSC7 @ Fairview 01/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 6f211y Std 1181/05C7C7 @ Fairview 08/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR - · 6f211y Std 118C7 @ Fairview 01/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 6f211y Std 115 · HIGHER CLASS1/07C7C7 @ Fairview 17/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR - · 7f210y Std 119 · HIGHER CLASSC7 @ Fairview 26/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 6f211y Std 117 · HIGHER CLASS26/08C7projClass-projected finish: 6th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-26Fairview?5th5th+0
2026-07-17Fairview?10th10th+0
2026-07-01Fairview?4th4th+0
2026-06-08Fairview?8th8th−0
2026-05-01Fairview?5th5th−0
2026-04-03Fairview?12th12th+0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/113/041/0726/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1140% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength92%

Delivery trend +5.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/11/20253rd6/168%78%+0.09
12/12/20254th16/116%57%+0.41
23/01/20267th3/184%33%-0.51
03/04/202612th17/255%15%-0.40
01/05/20265th50/10%60%+0.60
08/06/20268th25/10%42%+0.42
01/07/20264th14/126%70%+0.44
17/07/202610th33/10%31%+0.31
26/08/20265th14/126%56%+0.29