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7

Northern Kitten

6yo Mare · 9-4 · OR 14

Fairview · Betway Fm 66 Handicap (F & M) · 7f 210y

#11

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

★★ Timeform

Commentary

50/1, eighth of 11 in handicap at Fairview (8f) 53 days ago. First run for yard after leaving K. Mitchley. Plenty to find on form.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength54%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 5 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 8.8 /10 (raw 6.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: +0.6
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC7 @ Vaal 10/02/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR - · 7f46y Gd 135 · HIGHER CLASS10/02C7C7 @ Turffontein 12/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR - · 7f46y Sft 134 · HIGHER CLASSC6 @ Vaal 26/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 1m209y GS 120 · HIGHER CLASS26/03C6C5 @ Vaal 04/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 119 · HIGHER CLASSC7 @ Vaal 26/05/2026 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR - · 1m209y 132 · HIGHER CLASS26/05C7C7 @ Fairview 03/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR - · 7f210y Std 130 · HIGHER CLASSC7 @ Fairview 17/07/2026 · Pos 13th of 14 · OR - · 7f210y Std 132 · HIGHER CLASS17/07C7C7 @ Fairview 10/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 7f210y Std 128 · HIGHER CLASSC7 @ Fairview 30/09/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR - · 6f211y Std 121 · HIGHER CLASS30/09C7projClass-projected finish: 10th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-30Fairview?10th9th+1
2026-08-10Fairview?8th8th+0
2026-07-17Fairview?13th13th+0
2026-07-03Fairview?9th9th+0
2026-05-26Vaal?12th12th+0
2026-05-04Vaal?5th2nd+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/024/0517/0730/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1110% of fieldRange 6-11 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength15%

Delivery trend +1.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 11.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/02/20269th17/255%27%-0.28
12/03/20267th33/10%54%+0.54
26/03/20265th16/116%50%+0.34
04/05/20265th9/276%43%-0.33
26/05/202612th16/116%0%-0.16
03/07/20269th16/116%33%+0.18
17/07/202613th20/10%8%+0.08
10/08/20268th40/10%30%+0.30
30/09/202610th80/10%10%+0.10