6

Priceless Treasure

4yo Filly · 9-6 · OR 63

Fairview · Betway Fm 66 Handicap (F & M) · 7f 210y

#3

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

6%

Place Prob

15%

Rank

#3

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

3/1, won 9-runner maiden at Fairview (7f) 42 days ago. Makes handicap debut.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 3.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: -0.9
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Fairview 07/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 6f211y Std 1257/11C8C8 @ Fairview 19/12/2025 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 6f211y Std 130C8 @ Fairview 29/12/2025 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 5f212y Std 13229/12C8C8 @ Fairview 03/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 6f211y Std 130C8 @ Fairview 10/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 13210/04C8C8 @ Fairview 24/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 7f210y Std 134C8 @ Fairview 11/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR - · 7f210y Std 13011/05C8C8 @ Fairview 01/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR - · 7f210y Std 132C8 @ Fairview 21/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 6f211y Std 12121/08C8projClass-projected finish: 5th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-21Fairview?1st2nd−1
2026-07-01Fairview?8th9th−1
2026-05-11Fairview?7th8th−1
2026-04-24Fairview?3rd4th−1
2026-04-10Fairview?4th5th−1
2026-02-03Fairview?3rd4th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/113/0211/0521/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1150% of fieldRange 5-11 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength26%

Delivery trend -5.1% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/11/20252nd17/255%88%+0.32
19/12/20254th7/282%67%-0.15
29/12/20253rd9/276%78%+0.01
03/02/20263rd7/491%71%-0.19
10/04/20264th4/179%73%-0.06
24/04/20263rd7/282%80%-0.02
11/05/20267th7/491%50%-0.41
01/07/20268th6/168%0%-0.68
21/08/20261st5/287%100%+0.13