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9

Tokyo Princess

6yo Mare · 8-13 · OR 46

Fairview · Betway Fm 66 Handicap (F & M) · 7f 210y

#4

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#4

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Sixteen runs since last win in 2024. Very good second of 10 in handicap (17/2) at Fairview (8f) 7 days ago. Looks competitive on form.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength69%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 7.9)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.6
Today:
Class gap: +0.6
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Durbanville 21/01/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 6f47y Gd 131 · HIGHER CLASS21/0155 @ Kenilworth 25/02/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 131 · HIGHER CLASS5 @ Kenilworth 31/05/2026 · Pos 12th of 13 · OR - · 5f212y GS 129 · HIGHER CLASS31/055C7 @ Fairview 01/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR - · 6f102y Std 128 · HIGHER CLASSC7 @ Fairview 17/07/2026 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR - · 7f210y Std 130 · HIGHER CLASS17/07C7C5 @ Fairview 31/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR - · 6f211y Std 119 · HIGHER CLASSC7 @ Fairview 09/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 7f210y Std 118 · HIGHER CLASS9/09C7C7 @ Fairview 11/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 7f210y GS 122 · HIGHER CLASSC7 @ Fairview 25/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 7f210y Std 121 · HIGHER CLASS25/09C7projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-25Fairview?2nd2nd+0
2026-09-11Fairview?7th7th+0
2026-09-09Fairview?3rd3rd+0
2026-07-31Fairview?10th7th+3
2026-07-17Fairview?11th11th+0
2026-07-01Fairview?10th10th+0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/011/079/0925/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 11100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +4.9% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/01/20267th28/10%14%+0.14
25/02/20269th80/10%0%0.00
31/05/202612th100/10%8%+0.08
01/07/202610th40/10%0%0.00
17/07/202611th80/10%23%+0.23
31/07/202610th100/10%18%+0.18
09/09/20263rd14/126%75%+0.49
11/09/20267th80/10%45%+0.45
25/09/20262nd15/261%89%+0.28