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5

Fantine

4yo Filly · 8-3 · OR 72

Fairview · Betway Conditions Plate (F & M) · 7f 210y

#3

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#3

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Career best when winning 6-runner handicap (63/100) at Fairview (9.9f) 42 days ago. Back down in trip. On the upgrade recently.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength13%

What the class read says

Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 4.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.1
Today:
Class gap: -2.1
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Kenilworth 10/12/2025 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 13210/12C8C8 @ Kenilworth 24/12/2025 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 131C8 @ Kenilworth 13/01/2026 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 13213/01C8C8 @ Kenilworth 25/02/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 132C8 @ Fairview 22/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 5f212y Std 12722/04C8C8 @ Fairview 05/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 6f211y Std 132C5 @ Fairview 31/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 6f211y Std 128 · HIGHER CLASS31/07C5C7 @ Fairview 10/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 7f210y Std 136C7 @ Fairview 21/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR - · 1m1f208y Std 13721/08C7projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-21Fairview?1st3rd−2
2026-08-10Fairview?2nd4th−2
2026-07-31Fairview?4th3rd+1
2026-06-05Fairview?1st5th−3
2026-04-22Fairview?6th10th−3
2026-02-25Kenilworth?8th12th−3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/1225/0231/0721/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +7.2% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/12/20253rd7/282%75%-0.07
24/12/20258th7/491%0%-0.91
13/01/20268th18/15%46%+0.41
25/02/20268th20/10%36%+0.36
22/04/20266th11/486%29%-0.57
05/06/20261st9/276%100%+0.24
31/07/20264th50/10%73%+0.73
10/08/20262nd13/266%90%+0.24
21/08/20261st4/797%100%+0.03