7

Honorable Member

5yo Mare · 7-12 · OR 69

Fairview · Betway Conditions Plate (F & M) · 7f 210y

#6

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

33/1, 4¼ lengths sixth of 7 to Kleinzee in minor event at Fairview (8f) 53 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength64%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 4.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Fairview 07/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 1m2f Std 1157/11C5C5 @ Fairview 28/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 7f210y Std 110C5 @ Fairview 02/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 1m1f98y Std 1202/01C5C0 @ Fairview 16/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 125C5 @ Fairview 20/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR - · 1m209y Sft 128 · HIGHER CLASS20/03C5C6 @ Fairview 24/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR - · 7f210y Std 134C5 @ Fairview 08/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 7f210y Std 123 · HIGHER CLASS8/06C5C1 @ Fairview 10/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 7f210y Std 128 · HIGHER CLASSC5 @ Fairview 10/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR - · 7f210y Std 129 · HIGHER CLASS10/08C5projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-10Fairview?6th5th+1
2026-07-10Fairview?6th1st+4
2026-06-08Fairview?6th5th+1
2026-04-24Fairview?8th9th−1
2026-03-20Fairview?7th6th+1
2026-01-16Fairview?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/1116/018/0610/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength85%

Delivery trend +6.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/11/20252nd15/890%86%-0.04
28/11/20251st2/189%100%+0.11
02/01/20263rd9/488%71%-0.17
16/01/20266th11/486%0%-0.86
20/03/20267th20/10%25%+0.25
24/04/20268th12/137%22%-0.15
08/06/20266th33/10%44%+0.44
10/07/20266th100/10%55%+0.55
10/08/20266th28/10%17%+0.17