6
Royal Missy
4yo Filly · 8-2 · OR 59
Fairview · Betway Conditions Plate (F & M) · 7f 210y
#7
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength35%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.8
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Fairview | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-08-26 | Fairview | ? | 4th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-08-10 | Fairview | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-07-01 | Fairview | ? | 4th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-06-12 | Fairview | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-08 | Fairview | ? | 5th | 0th | +4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength16%
Delivery trend -10.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/02/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 36% | -0.11 |
| 13/03/2026 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 10/04/2026 | 2nd | 33/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 08/05/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 33% | -0.14 |
| 12/06/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 29% | -0.29 |
| 01/07/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 57% | +0.10 |
| 10/08/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 26/08/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 09/09/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |