4
Wishes And Dreams
4yo Filly · 8-5 · OR 60
Fairview · Betway Conditions Plate (F & M) · 7f 210y
#4
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength26%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.4
Today:
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Fairview | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Fairview | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-04-24 | Fairview | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-03-13 | Fairview | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-01-06 | Fairview | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2025-10-17 | Fairview | ? | 2nd | 5th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 4-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength19%
Delivery trend -5.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/06/2025 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 80% | -0.10 |
| 11/07/2025 | 1st | 4/7 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 26/09/2025 | 1st | 8/13 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 17/10/2025 | 2nd | 1/1 | 95% | 90% | -0.05 |
| 06/01/2026 | 5th | 2/1 | 89% | 33% | -0.56 |
| 13/03/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 90% | +0.01 |
| 24/04/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 05/06/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 33% | -0.48 |
| 28/08/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 17% | -0.62 |