3
Above The Horizon
4yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 80
Fairview · Betway Middle Stakes · 7f 210y
#2
Rank
Odds
11/2
Win Prob
36%
Place Prob
36%
Rank
#2
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength19%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Fairview | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-21 | Fairview | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-07-24 | Fairview | ? | 2nd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-07-10 | Fairview | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Fairview | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-29 | Fairview | ? | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength77%
Delivery trend -0.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/03/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 78% | +0.20 |
| 10/04/2026 | 5th | 10/3 | 82% | 43% | -0.40 |
| 08/05/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 29/05/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 71% | +0.06 |
| 19/06/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 86% | +0.23 |
| 10/07/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 86% | +0.12 |
| 24/07/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 89% | +0.42 |
| 21/08/2026 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 11/09/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |