5
Action America
4yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 67
Fairview · Betway Middle Stakes · 7f 210y
#7
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength12%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.4
Today:
Class gap: -0.9
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Fairview | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-07-10 | Fairview | ? | 5th | 7th | −2 |
| 2026-06-26 | Fairview | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Fairview | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-05-08 | Fairview | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-04-10 | Fairview | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 4-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength11%
Delivery trend -7.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/01/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 90% | +0.74 |
| 13/02/2026 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 50% | -0.11 |
| 20/03/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 10/04/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 71% | +0.35 |
| 08/05/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 13% | -0.35 |
| 05/06/2026 | 2nd | 22/1 | 0% | 89% | +0.89 |
| 26/06/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 10/07/2026 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 50% | -0.36 |
| 11/09/2026 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 33% | -0.40 |