2
Porfirio
8yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 79
Fairview · Betway Middle Stakes · 7f 210y
#3
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
10%
Rank
#3
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.1
Today:
Class gap: -0.6
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Fairview | ? | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-07-10 | Fairview | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-08 | Fairview | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Fairview | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-17 | Fairview | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-03-20 | Fairview | ? | 7th | 9th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 3-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength19%
Delivery trend -4.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/01/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 03/02/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 27/02/2026 | 1st | 17/2 | 55% | 100% | +0.45 |
| 20/03/2026 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 33% | -0.25 |
| 17/04/2026 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 22/05/2026 | 4th | 28/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 08/06/2026 | 10th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |
| 10/07/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 14% | -0.38 |
| 11/09/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |