IvyArcIvyArc
3

Anuschka's World

5yo Gelding · 9-11 · OR 100

Fairview · Betway Cradock Place Stakes · 5f 212y

#3

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#3

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

3-time C&D winner. 2 wins from 6 runs this year. Latest win here in March. 11/10, creditable second of 8 in minor event at Fairview (5f) 28 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength55%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 3.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.8
Today:
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Fairview 05/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 4f214y Gd 1325/09C5C5 @ Fairview 03/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 5f212y GS 135C5 @ Fairview 31/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR - · 4f214y Gd 13731/10C5C0 @ Fairview 30/01/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 128C5 @ Fairview 20/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 14220/02C5C1 @ Fairview 20/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 5f212y Sft 130 · HIGHER CLASSC5 @ Fairview 26/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR - · 4f214y Std 13726/06C5C4 @ Greyville 26/07/2026 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR - · 4f214y Gd 137 · HIGHER CLASSC5 @ Fairview 04/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 4f214y Std 1374/09C5projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-04Fairview?2nd2nd0
2026-07-26Greyville?12th11th+1
2026-06-26Fairview?2nd2nd0
2026-03-20Fairview?1st-3th+4
2026-02-20Fairview?1st2nd−1
2026-01-30Fairview?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/0930/0126/064/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength83%

Delivery trend -0.1% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 7.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/09/20253rd9/488%71%-0.17
03/10/20252nd8/158%88%+0.30
31/10/20254th11/142%40%-0.02
30/01/20262nd11/271%86%+0.15
20/02/20261st7/282%100%+0.18
20/03/20261st9/488%100%+0.12
26/06/20262nd4/179%80%+0.01
26/07/202612th22/10%15%+0.15
04/09/20262nd5/493%86%-0.08