6

Cliff Top

7yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 73

Fairview · Betway Cradock Place Stakes · 5f 212y

#7

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

C&D winner. Sixth of 8 in minor event at Fairview (5f, 33/1) 28 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength40%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 4.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.8
Today:
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Fairview 05/09/2025 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 4f214y Gd 1325/09C5C5 @ Fairview 03/10/2025 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR - · 5f212y GS 135C5 @ Fairview 31/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR - · 4f214y Gd 13731/10C5C0 @ Fairview 21/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR - · 4f214y Std 132C5 @ Fairview 22/12/2025 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 5f212y Std 13722/12C5C1 @ Fairview 20/03/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR - · 5f212y Sft 130 · HIGHER CLASSC5 @ Fairview 01/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 5f212y Std 1341/05C5C5 @ Fairview 26/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR - · 4f214y Std 134C5 @ Fairview 04/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 4f214y Std 1324/09C5projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-04Fairview?6th6th0
2026-06-26Fairview?4th4th0
2026-05-01Fairview?8th8th0
2026-03-20Fairview?9th5th+4
2025-12-22Fairview?4th4th0
2025-11-21Fairview?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/0921/111/054/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 5-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength16%

Delivery trend -0.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 7.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/09/20255th16/116%43%+0.27
03/10/20259th66/10%0%0.00
31/10/20255th20/10%20%+0.20
21/11/20251st13/266%100%+0.34
22/12/20254th9/153%67%+0.14
20/03/20269th25/10%0%0.00
01/05/20268th25/10%13%+0.13
26/06/20264th14/126%40%+0.14
04/09/20266th25/10%29%+0.29