6

Cliff Top
7yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 73
Fairview · Betway Cradock Place Stakes · 5f 212y
#7
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength40%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.8
Today:
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Fairview | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Fairview | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-01 | Fairview | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-03-20 | Fairview | ? | 9th | 5th | +4 |
| 2025-12-22 | Fairview | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-11-21 | Fairview | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 5-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength16%
Delivery trend -0.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09/2025 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 43% | +0.27 |
| 03/10/2025 | 9th | 66/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 31/10/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 21/11/2025 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 22/12/2025 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 67% | +0.14 |
| 20/03/2026 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 01/05/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 26/06/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 40% | +0.14 |
| 04/09/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |