4
Fairy Knight
6yo Gelding · 9-11 · OR 90
Fairview · Betway Cradock Place Stakes · 5f 212y
#2
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#2
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength39%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 2.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.8
Today:
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Fairview | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-21 | Fairview | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-17 | Fairview | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Fairview | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-01 | Fairview | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-20 | Fairview | ? | 3rd | -1th | +4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 2-5 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength61%
Delivery trend -1.8% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 3rd of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11/2025 | 1st | 10/11 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 22/12/2025 | 1st | 10/11 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 06/02/2026 | 1st | 8/11 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 20/03/2026 | 3rd | 7/4 | 91% | 75% | -0.16 |
| 01/05/2026 | 4th | 11/8 | 93% | 63% | -0.30 |
| 26/06/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 60% | -0.19 |
| 17/07/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 83% | +0.23 |
| 21/08/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 60% | -0.03 |
| 04/09/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 57% | -0.24 |