5
Mount Pilatus
6yo Gelding · 9-11 · OR 64
Fairview · Betway Cradock Place Stakes · 5f 212y
#6
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼2
Strength70%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.8
Today:
Class gap: +1.8
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Fairview | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-10-09 | Vaal | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-05-31 | Scottsville | ? | 10th | 7th | +3 |
| 2025-04-26 | Turffontein | ? | 5th | 0th | +4 |
| 2025-03-22 | Turffontein | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-03-01 | Turffontein | ? | 6th | 1st | +4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength43%
Delivery trend -4.4% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08/2024 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 70% | -0.09 |
| 12/11/2024 | 1st | 17/2 | 55% | 100% | +0.45 |
| 30/11/2024 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 01/03/2025 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 64% | -0.07 |
| 22/03/2025 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 26/04/2025 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 31/05/2025 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 09/10/2025 | 10th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |
| 04/09/2026 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |