7
Ginger Delight
5yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 60
Fairview · Betway Middle Stakes · 1m 1f 208y
#7
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength25%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C5.4
Today:
Class gap: -0.9
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Fairview | ? | 5th | 7th | −2 |
| 2026-07-17 | Fairview | ? | 7th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-06-12 | Fairview | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-15 | Fairview | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-20 | Fairview | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-01-02 | Fairview | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 7-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -3.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10/2025 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 86% | -0.04 |
| 14/11/2025 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |
| 05/12/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 02/01/2026 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 20/03/2026 | 8th | 11/2 | 71% | 13% | -0.59 |
| 15/05/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |
| 12/06/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 71% | +0.24 |
| 17/07/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 14% | -0.12 |
| 26/08/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 33% | -0.38 |