8

Intuitive Spirit

6yo Gelding · 7-12 · OR 45

Fairview · Betway Middle Stakes · 1m 1f 208y

#8

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Fourteen runs since last win in 2024. Third of 10 in minor event at this course (11.9f, good to soft, 17/2) 35 days ago. Difficult ask.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength40%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 6.8)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.4
Today:
Class gap: +0.1
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Scottsville 25/01/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 1m1f153y GS 11625/01C5C5 @ Scottsville 15/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 1m3f205y GS 1164 @ Greyville 22/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 1m1f208y Sft 115 · HIGHER CLASS22/034C5 @ Greyville 08/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 1m2f Std 116C5 @ Greyville 06/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 1m1f208y Std 1266/05C54 @ Greyville 03/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR - · 1m1f208y Std 115 · HIGHER CLASSC5 @ Greyville 13/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 1m3f205y GS 11613/06C5C5 @ Fairview 14/08/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR - · 1m1f208y Std 115C5 @ Fairview 28/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 1m3f205y GS 11928/08C5projClass-projected finish: 4th of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-28Fairview?3rd3rd0
2026-08-14Fairview?11th11th0
2026-06-13Greyville?7th7th0
2026-06-03Greyville47th6th+1
2026-05-06Greyville?4th4th0
2026-04-08Greyville?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/018/0413/0628/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength51%

Delivery trend -3.2% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/01/20267th50/10%14%+0.14
15/02/20265th33/10%50%+0.50
22/03/20267th50/10%33%+0.33
08/04/20265th15/261%33%-0.27
06/05/20264th16/116%73%+0.57
03/06/20267th33/10%40%+0.40
13/06/20267th33/10%45%+0.45
14/08/202611th8/158%9%-0.49
28/08/20263rd15/261%78%+0.17