4
Terminator
6yo Gelding · 9-2 · OR 82
Fairview · Betway Middle Stakes · 1m 1f 208y
#6
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength56%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 0 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.2
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Fairview | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-10 | Fairview | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-24 | Greyville | 3 | 11th | 9th | +2 |
| 2026-03-01 | Scottsville | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-12-19 | Greyville | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-09-21 | Scottsville | 4 | 1st | 0th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength93%
Delivery trend +3.0% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 4th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/05/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 92% | +0.16 |
| 29/06/2025 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 93% | +0.03 |
| 23/07/2025 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 50% | -0.34 |
| 21/09/2025 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 19/12/2025 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 78% | -0.05 |
| 01/03/2026 | 7th | 7/1 | 63% | 33% | -0.30 |
| 24/04/2026 | 11th | 17/2 | 55% | 0% | -0.55 |
| 10/08/2026 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 11/09/2026 | 2nd | 28/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |