1
Wild Fig
4yo Gelding · 9-11 · OR 88
Fairview · Betway Middle Stakes · 1m 1f 208y
#1
Rank
Odds
9/4
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
92%
Rank
#1
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength22%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 2.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Fairview | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-28 | Fairview | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Fairview | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-17 | Fairview | ? | 1st | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-06-24 | Fairview | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-29 | Fairview | ? | 5th | 7th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▬
Strength98%
Delivery trend +0.5% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/03/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 67% | +0.04 |
| 10/04/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 57% | -0.11 |
| 08/05/2026 | 3rd | 40/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 29/05/2026 | 5th | 13/8 | 91% | 43% | -0.49 |
| 24/06/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 17/07/2026 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 07/08/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 28/08/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 83% | +0.07 |
| 11/09/2026 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |