2
Charles Kickham
4yo Gelding · 11-7
Gowran Park · Willis Towers Watson Maiden Hurdle · 2m 80y
#11
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼8
Strength0%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: +8.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | Tramore | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-04 | Roscommon | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-16 | Killarney | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-04 | Down Royal | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1350% of fieldRange 3-11 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength52%
Delivery trend +4.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/05/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 36% | +0.21 |
| 16/07/2026 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 57% | +0.52 |
| 04/08/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 58% | +0.58 |
| 14/08/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |