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5

Magna Gee Gee

4yo Gelding · 11-7

Gowran Park · Willis Towers Watson Maiden Hurdle · 2m 80y

#4

Rank

Odds

100/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#4

★ Timeform

Commentary

Low-grade Flat winner never landed a blow in a Listowel maiden (200/1) 9 days ago. Little appeal this side of handicaps.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼2
Strength85%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: +1.7
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA62 @ Dundalk 13/01/2026 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR 62 · 1m Std 132 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark13/01/2026 · OR 62 par13/0162OR 62BHA60 @ Gowran Park 09/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR 60 · 1m1f130y Sft 142 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark09/04/2026 · OR 60 parBHA59 @ Cork 24/04/2026 · Pos 10th of 18 · OR 59 · 1m Goo 141 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark24/04/2026 · OR 59 par24/0459OR 59BHA56 @ Cork 19/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR 56 · 1m2f90y Sft 138 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark19/05/2026 · OR 56 parBHA54 @ Fairyhouse 12/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 17 · OR 54 · 1m4f Goo 136 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark12/06/2026 · OR 54 par12/0654OR 54BHA54 @ Tramore 07/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR 54 · 1m4f Goo 138 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark07/07/2026 · OR 54 parBHA54 @ Limerick 11/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 54 · 1m4f65y Gd 136 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark11/07/2026 · OR 54 par11/0754OR 54BHA55 @ Gowran Park 25/07/2026 · Pos 13th of 13 · OR 55 · 1m1f110y Goo 137 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark25/07/2026 · OR 55 parC8 @ Listowel 23/09/2026 · Pos 9th of 16 · OR - · 2m Goo 16423/09C8projClass-projected finish: 4th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-23Listowel?9th9th0
2026-07-25Gowran ParkBHA5513th10th+3
2026-07-11LimerickBHA541st-2th+3
2026-07-07TramoreBHA543rd0th+3
2026-06-12FairyhouseBHA546th3rd+3
2026-06-05Clonmel?0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/0119/0511/0723/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1367% of fieldRange 7-13 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -2.3% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 5th of 13. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/01/202610th16/116%31%+0.15
09/04/20267th12/137%54%+0.17
24/04/202610th20/10%47%+0.47
19/05/20268th13/266%42%-0.24
12/06/20266th12/137%69%+0.32
07/07/20263rd11/486%82%-0.04
11/07/20261st11/271%100%+0.29
25/07/202613th13/266%0%-0.66
23/09/20269th200/10%47%+0.47