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6

Miners Cabin

4yo Gelding · 11-7

Gowran Park · Willis Towers Watson Maiden Hurdle · 2m 80y

#10

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

★ Timeform

Commentary

Hasn't shown much in either code. Back hurdling and needs this run for a mark.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼3
Strength86%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 8.6 /10 (raw 10.7)

Highest class: BHA42
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: +2.5
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Naas 15/12/2025 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR - · 2m1f40y Sft 15415/12C?C8 @ Dundalk 13/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 1m4f Std 135C8 @ Bellewstown 11/04/2026 · Pos 14th of 15 · OR - · 1m3f90y Sft 13511/04C8C8 @ Cork 24/04/2026 · Pos 15th of 16 · OR - · 1m2f100y Goo 147BHA53 @ Leopardstown 15/05/2026 · Pos 12th of 19 · OR 53 · 1m4f180y Gd 135 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark15/05/2026 · OR 53 par15/0553OR 53BHA49 @ Down Royal 29/05/2026 · Pos 13th of 14 · OR 49 · 2m Goo 130 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark29/05/2026 · OR 49 parBHA44 @ Bellewstown 02/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR 44 · 1m6f109y Gd 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark02/07/2026 · OR 44 par2/0744OR 446 @ Ffos Las 28/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 45 · 1m3f209y Goo 121 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark28/07/2026 · OR 45 parBHA42 @ Navan 27/08/2026 · Pos 14th of 22 · OR 42 · 1m6f Goo 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark27/08/2026 · OR 42 par27/0842OR 42projClass-projected finish: 6th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-27NavanBHA4214th9th+4
2026-07-28Ffos Las69th7th+2
2026-07-02BellewstownBHA447th3rd+4
2026-05-29Down RoyalBHA4913th9th+3
2026-05-15LeopardstownBHA5312th9th+3
2026-04-24Cork?15th15th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/1224/042/0727/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 130% of fieldRange 10-13 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -4.5% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 13th of 13. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/12/20258th66/10%46%+0.46
13/01/20266th33/10%38%+0.38
11/04/202614th100/10%7%+0.07
24/04/202615th250/10%7%+0.07
15/05/202612th50/10%39%+0.39
29/05/202613th25/10%8%+0.08
02/07/20267th10/147%45%-0.02
28/07/20269th12/137%0%-0.37
27/08/202614th40/10%38%+0.38