9

Robbie Diamonds

4yo Gelding · 11-7

Gowran Park · Willis Towers Watson Maiden Hurdle · 2m 80y

#12

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Shaped better than the beaten distance when well-held sixth on second bumper start at Killarney (17f). Entitled to need the experience now switched to hurdles following 4 months off.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼8
Strength0%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Class-adjusted form 10.5 /10 (raw 10.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: +8.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Punchestown 28/04/2026 · Pos 15th of 18 · OR - · 2m132y Yie 16428/04C?C0 @ Killarney 09/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR - · 2m1f Goo 1649/05C?projClass-projected finish: 9th of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-09Killarney?6th6th0
2026-04-28Punchestown?15th15th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/049/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1342% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength99%

Delivery trend +40.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/04/202615th25/10%18%+0.18
09/05/20266th40/10%58%+0.58