4

Ballyteigue Bay

6yo Gelding · 11-12

Gowran Park · Cantor Fitzgerald Ireland Maiden Hurdle · 2m 80y

#16

Rank

Odds

66/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#16

★ Timeform

Commentary

Promise in bumper on NH debut last summer but offered little over hurdles or back in a bumper at Kilbeggan in May.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 7.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Clonmel 15/05/2025 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 2m159y Goo 16815/05C?C8 @ Wexford 26/10/2025 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR - · 2m145y Goo 15826/10C8C0 @ Kilbeggan 31/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR - · 1m7f150y Goo 16831/05C?projClass-projected finish: 5th of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-31Kilbeggan?8th8th0
2026-01-01Tramore?0
2025-10-26Wexford?10th10th0
2025-05-15Clonmel?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/0526/1031/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish19th of 2214% of fieldRange 17-22 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -18.5% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 19th of 22. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/05/20253rd16/116%75%+0.59
26/10/202510th80/10%25%+0.25
31/05/20268th28/10%22%+0.22