16

Cosmic Front

5yo Mare · 11-5

Gowran Park · Cantor Fitzgerald Ireland Maiden Hurdle · 2m 80y

#2

Rank

Odds

11/4

Win Prob

5%

Place Prob

15%

Rank

#2

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Fairly useful Flat performer, successful on latest start in February (all 3 wins on all-weather). In top hands and shaped better than the distance beaten when sixth of 10 in novice hurdle at Down Royal on NH debut 35 days ago. Likely improver.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼4
Strength91%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 6 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 4.6)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.4
Today:
Class gap: +3.6
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Nantes 30/03/2025 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 1m3f204y Hvy 131 · HIGHER CLASS30/03C5C5 @ ParisLongchamp 24/04/2025 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR - · 1m4f94y Ver 127 · HIGHER CLASSC5 @ Argentan 04/06/2025 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 1m6f91y Sft 124 · HIGHER CLASS4/06C5C5 @ Le Croise-Laroche 06/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR - · 1m208y GS 120 · HIGHER CLASSC5 @ Deauville 07/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 1m4f94y Std 120 · HIGHER CLASS7/11C5C0 @ Chantilly 11/12/2025 · Pos 6th of 16 · OR - · 1m7f199y Std 1222 @ Deauville 16/01/2026 · Pos 8th of 16 · OR - · 1m4f94y Std 124 · HIGHER CLASS16/0123 @ Deauville 06/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR - · 1m4f94y Std 131 · HIGHER CLASSC8 @ Down Royal 28/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 2m1f87y Goo 16128/08C8projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-28Down Royal?6th6th0
2026-02-06Deauville31st-5th+5
2026-01-16Deauville28th1st+6
2025-12-11Chantilly?6th6th0
2025-11-07Deauville?3rd-1th+4
2025-10-06Le Croise-Laroche?7th3rd+4

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/036/1016/0128/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 2290% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength77%

Delivery trend -0.5% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 3rd of 22.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/03/20254th8/158%57%-0.01
24/04/20256th14/126%17%-0.10
04/06/20254th8/158%63%+0.05
06/10/20257th10/147%25%-0.22
07/11/20253rd3/184%71%-0.13
11/12/20256th6/168%67%-0.02
16/01/20268th17/255%53%-0.02
06/02/20261st13/266%100%+0.34
28/08/20266th9/488%44%-0.44