22

Detroit Maverick

6yo Gelding · 11-12

Gowran Park · Cantor Fitzgerald Ireland Maiden Hurdle · 2m 80y

#11

Rank

Odds

5/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Point winner who made the frame in first 2 starts in bumpers. Not in same form at Clonmel when last seen in March but warrants respect on hurdles debut. RESERVE.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼8
Strength0%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: +8.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Fairyhouse 14/01/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 2m Yie 16814/01C?C0 @ Fairyhouse 21/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 4 · OR - · 2m110y Hvy 16821/02C?C0 @ Clonmel 26/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 2m Sft 16826/03C?projClass-projected finish: 4th of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-03-26Clonmel?5th5th0
2026-02-21Fairyhouse?2nd2nd0
2026-01-14Fairyhouse?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/0121/0226/03
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 2248% of fieldRange 19-20 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength11%

Delivery trend -27.9% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 12th of 22. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/01/20262nd4/179%88%+0.09
21/02/20262nd9/488%67%-0.21
26/03/20265th15/890%43%-0.47