11

Midfield Magic

5yo Gelding · 11-12

Gowran Park · Cantor Fitzgerald Ireland Maiden Hurdle · 2m 80y

#13

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#13

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Exceeded market expectations when fourth of 25 in maiden hurdle at Fairyhouse on debut in April. Since joined Gavin Cromwell and surely has more to offer yet.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Fairyhouse 05/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 25 · OR - · 2m100y Yie 1665/04C8
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-04-05Fairyhouse?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/04
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 2276% of fieldRange 2-7 · 50%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 22. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/04/20264th100/10%88%+0.88