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18

Poetic Parable

5yo Mare · 11-5

Gowran Park · Cantor Fitzgerald Ireland Maiden Hurdle · 2m 80y

#20

Rank

Odds

66/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#20

★ Timeform

Commentary

Poet's Word mare who had shown a bit by the line on her debut when well-beaten seventh of 15 in maiden hurdle at Roscommon (2m, good) in July. Likely one for handicaps down the line.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 7.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Roscommon 06/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 15 · OR - · 1m7f204y Gd 1516/07C8
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-06Roscommon?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 2233% of fieldRange 5-10 · 50%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength29%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 15th of 22. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/07/20267th66/10%57%+0.57