20

That's It Girl

4yo Filly · 11-4

Gowran Park · Cantor Fitzgerald Ireland Maiden Hurdle · 2m 80y

#10

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

★ Timeform

Commentary

Went with little promise in novice hurdle at Down Royal on NH debut 35 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 8.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Down Royal 28/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR - · 2m1f87y Goo 15028/08C8
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-28Down Royal?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 2267% of fieldRange 6-11 · 50%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength11%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 22. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/08/20268th25/10%22%+0.22