6
Likealightswitch
5yo Mare · 10-7 · OR 107
Gowran Park · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Pat Walsh Memorial Mares Hurdle · 2m 80y
#5
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-06 | Fairyhouse | ? | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2026-03-07 | Gowran Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-03 | Fairyhouse | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-01-08 | Clonmel | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-12-07 | Cork | BHA102 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-11-08 | Gowran Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 5-7 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength1%
Delivery trend -8.8% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09/2025 | 8th | 250/1 | 0% | 59% | +0.59 |
| 03/10/2025 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 89% | +0.63 |
| 24/10/2025 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 75% | +0.07 |
| 08/11/2025 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 87% | +0.50 |
| 07/12/2025 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 65% | +0.65 |
| 08/01/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 94% | +0.31 |
| 03/02/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 93% | +0.07 |
| 07/03/2026 | 1st | 2/9 | 99% | 100% | +0.01 |
| 06/04/2026 | 15th | 9/1 | 53% | 30% | -0.23 |