4
Royal Hollow
8yo Mare · 10-11 · OR 125
Gowran Park · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Pat Walsh Memorial Mares Hurdle · 2m 80y
#2
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#2
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C8.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-16 | Clonmel | BHA88 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-21 | Killarney | BHA90 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-30 | Galway | 1 | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Fairyhouse | BHA90 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-22 | Ballinrobe | BHA86 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Listowel | BHA128 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +2.8% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price, confirming the short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 14/04/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 09/05/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 75% | -0.04 |
| 30/05/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 86% | +0.04 |
| 22/06/2026 | 2nd | 11/1 | 42% | 86% | +0.44 |
| 08/07/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 29% | -0.48 |
| 30/07/2026 | 15th | 33/1 | 0% | 26% | +0.26 |
| 21/08/2026 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 16/09/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 60% | -0.03 |