2
Sopelana
4yo Filly · 11-0 · OR 118
Gowran Park · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Pat Walsh Memorial Mares Hurdle · 2m 80y
#7
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength14%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C8.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-29 | Punchestown | BHA120 | 0 | ||
| 2026-03-21 | Navan | BHA119 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-21 | Fairyhouse | BHA120 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-08 | Navan | 1 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-01-26 | Punchestown | BHA113 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-12-29 | Limerick | 1 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength43%
Delivery trend -5.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10/2025 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 01/11/2025 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 25% | +0.20 |
| 13/11/2025 | 1st | 40/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 28/11/2025 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 29/12/2025 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 26/01/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 08/02/2026 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 21/02/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 40% | -0.46 |
| 21/03/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 91% | +0.54 |