7
Speisialta
6yo Mare · 10-7 · OR 117
Gowran Park · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Pat Walsh Memorial Mares Hurdle · 2m 80y
#4
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C9.9
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | Listowel | BHA118 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-08-26 | Bellewstown | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-06 | Sligo | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Wexford | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Wexford | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-01-12 | Punchestown | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength68%
Delivery trend +2.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/01/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 75% | +0.14 |
| 23/07/2026 | 10th | 9/1 | 53% | 31% | -0.22 |
| 06/08/2026 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 26/08/2026 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 20/09/2026 | 12th | 15/2 | 61% | 35% | -0.25 |