17

Getaway Tobin

5yo Mare · 11-5

Gowran Park · 1xBet.ie Supports Safer Gambling Maiden Hurdle · 2m 4f 40y

#17

Rank

Odds

100/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#17

★ Timeform

Commentary

Made the frame once from 3 starts in bumpers but hasn't offered much in a pair of maiden hurdles, well-beaten twelfth of 20 at Galway (17f) 25 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength20%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 8.4 /10 (raw 9.4)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.7
Today:
Class gap: +1.3
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Punchestown 02/05/2026 · Pos 12th of 16 · OR - · 2m Yie 1612/05C?C0 @ Kilbeggan 31/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 1m7f150y Goo 16131/05C?4 @ Hexham 13/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 2m48y Gd 149 · HIGHER CLASS13/064C8 @ Bellewstown 04/07/2026 · Pos 14th of 16 · OR - · 2m1f40y Gd 1514/07C8C8 @ Galway 07/09/2026 · Pos 12th of 20 · OR - · 2m160y Yie 1597/09C8projClass-projected finish: 7th of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-07Galway?12th12th0
2026-07-04Bellewstown?14th14th0
2026-06-13Hexham45th0th+4
2026-05-31Kilbeggan?4th4th0
2026-05-02Punchestown?12th12th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/0531/0513/064/077/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 2026% of fieldRange 6-20 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength17%

Delivery trend +0.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 15th of 20.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/05/202612th28/10%27%+0.27
31/05/20264th14/126%67%+0.40
13/06/20265th3/184%43%-0.41
04/07/202614th80/10%13%+0.13
07/09/202612th100/10%42%+0.42