IvyArcIvyArc
7

Grey Balls Of Fire

6yo Gelding · 11-12

Gowran Park · 1xBet.ie Supports Safer Gambling Maiden Hurdle · 2m 4f 40y

#12

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Off the mark at the fourth attempt in points and looked for one for the longer term sent hurdling when ninth of 12 in maiden at Navan (2¾m) in January. Off 8 months since.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 9.0 /10 (raw 9.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Navan 17/01/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR - · 2m6f Sft 16617/01C8
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-01-17Navan?9th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/01
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 2063% of fieldRange 7-12 · 50%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength50%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 20. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/01/20269th20/10%27%+0.27