8

Hurricane Leaf

6yo Gelding · 11-12

Gowran Park · 1xBet.ie Supports Safer Gambling Maiden Hurdle · 2m 4f 40y

#7

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#7

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Making third start in bumpers, showed much improved form upped in trip when third of 8 at Downpatrick (19f) in June, though hung left throughout. Has since left James Andrew Fahey and joined a much-respected yard ahead of hurdling debut.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼8
Strength0%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 6.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: +8.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Listowel 21/09/2025 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 2m Yie 16821/09C?C0 @ Sligo 12/05/2026 · Pos 10th of 15 · OR - · 2m1f166y Goo 16812/05C?C0 @ Downpatrick 13/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 2m2f185y Gd 16813/06C?projClass-projected finish: 6th of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-13Downpatrick?3rd3rd0
2026-05-12Sligo?10th10th0
2025-09-21Listowel?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/0912/0513/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 2084% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +16.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 20. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/09/20257th28/10%33%+0.33
12/05/202610th28/10%36%+0.36
13/06/20263rd18/15%71%+0.66