20

Senorita Diana

4yo Filly · 11-3

Gowran Park · 1xBet.ie Supports Safer Gambling Maiden Hurdle · 2m 4f 40y

#16

Rank

Odds

66/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#16

★ Timeform

Commentary

Little promise in 2 bumpers in the spring, again finishing well held when ninth of 11 at Cork in May. Needs to leave those efforts behind over hurdles.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼8
Strength0%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Class-adjusted form 11.0 /10 (raw 11.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: +8.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Punchestown 28/04/2026 · Pos 13th of 18 · OR - · 2m132y Yie 15728/04C?C0 @ Cork 10/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR - · 2m60y Goo 15910/05C?projClass-projected finish: 8th of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-10Cork?9th9th0
2026-04-28Punchestown?13th13th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/0410/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish16th of 2021% of fieldRange 18-18 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength11%

Delivery trend -9.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 16th of 20. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/04/202613th100/10%29%+0.29
10/05/20269th125/10%20%+0.20