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16

The Farmers Bar

4yo Gelding · 11-10

Gowran Park · 1xBet.ie Supports Safer Gambling Maiden Hurdle · 2m 4f 40y

#20

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#20

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Third on his only start in points and was well backed for his bumper debut, but ran no sort of race at Wexford in May. Has since left Ian John McCarthy and interesting to see if the support returns as he goes hurdling.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼8
Strength0%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 7.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: +8.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Wexford 07/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 2m1f Goo 1627/05C?
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-07Wexford?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish18th of 2011% of fieldRange 5-10 · 50%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength8%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 18th of 20. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/05/20267th5/493%14%-0.79