17

At The Wings

6yo Gelding · 10-8 · OR 80

Gowran Park · Racing TV Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 1) · 2m 4f 40y

#9

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Built on previous promise to gain a first success in 15-runner handicap hurdle at Navan (19f, good to soft) 13 days ago. Up 7 lb but scored comfortably there so needs considering.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength2%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 7.2)

Highest class: BHA73
Recent avg: C7.9
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Ballinrobe 27/05/2025 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR - · 2m57y Gd 15827/05C8C8 @ Sligo 10/06/2025 · Pos 10th of 16 · OR - · 2m1f157y Goo 166BHA90 @ Galway 08/09/2025 · Pos 12th of 20 · OR 90 · 2m160y Goo 146 · below its mark08/09/2025 · OR 90 par8/0990OR 90BHA87 @ Roscommon 29/09/2025 · Pos 11th of 16 · OR 87 · 1m7f135y Goo 155 · below its mark29/09/2025 · OR 87 parBHA84 @ Fairyhouse 21/11/2025 · Pos 11th of 15 · OR 84 · 2m4f80y Hvy 148 · below its mark21/11/2025 · OR 84 par21/1184OR 84BHA78 @ Sligo 12/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR 78 · 2m4f116y Gd 146 · below its mark12/07/2026 · OR 78 parBHA75 @ Ballinrobe 21/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 75 · 2m1f89y Gd 140 · below its mark21/07/2026 · OR 75 par21/0775OR 75BHA74 @ Wexford 28/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR 74 · 2m190y Gd 142 · below its mark28/08/2026 · OR 74 parBHA73 @ Navan 19/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR 73 · 2m3f Goo 141 · beat its mark19/09/2026 · OR 73 par19/0973OR 73projClass-projected finish: 6th of 23
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-19NavanBHA731st1st0
2026-08-28WexfordBHA745th5th0
2026-07-21BallinrobeBHA757th7th0
2026-07-12SligoBHA787th7th0
2025-11-21FairyhouseBHA8411th11th0
2025-09-29RoscommonBHA8711th11th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/0529/0921/0719/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 2368% of fieldRange 2-19 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength59%

Delivery trend -6.2% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 8th of 23. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/05/20257th66/10%50%+0.50
10/06/202510th50/10%40%+0.40
08/09/202512th33/10%42%+0.42
29/09/202511th22/10%33%+0.33
21/11/202511th17/255%29%-0.27
12/07/20267th12/137%54%+0.17
21/07/20267th11/271%25%-0.46
28/08/20265th13/266%64%-0.02
19/09/20261st7/163%100%+0.37