10
Flash The Badge
5yo Gelding · 11-2 · OR 88
Gowran Park · Racing TV Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 1) · 2m 4f 40y
#16
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#16
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 9.5 /10 (raw 9.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | Kilbeggan | BHA90 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Punchestown | BHA91 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-11-01 | Down Royal | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-10-18 | Limerick | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-10-03 | Gowran Park | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-07-17 | Killarney | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish19th of 2318% of fieldRange 10-23 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength21%
Delivery trend -3.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 19th of 23. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07/2025 | 10th | 18/1 | 5% | 25% | +0.20 |
| 03/10/2025 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 18/10/2025 | 11th | 300/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 01/11/2025 | 10th | 250/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 13/05/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 65% | +0.65 |
| 24/07/2026 | 9th | 8/1 | 58% | 47% | -0.11 |