1
Getaway Charlie
10yo Gelding · 12-6 · OR 99
Gowran Park · Racing TV Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 1) · 2m 4f 40y
#2
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
8%
Place Prob
21%
Rank
#2
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C10.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-28 | Roscommon | BHA99 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-04 | Roscommon | BHA102 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Roscommon | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-14 | Clonmel | BHA110 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-04-05 | Cork | BHA114 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2025-11-29 | Fairyhouse | BHA115 | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 23100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +8.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 23. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/11/2023 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |
| 17/05/2024 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 70% | +0.07 |
| 31/12/2024 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 27% | +0.01 |
| 20/03/2025 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 88% | +0.61 |
| 05/04/2026 | 13th | 50/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 14/04/2026 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 06/07/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 57% | +0.31 |
| 04/08/2026 | 12th | 25/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |
| 28/09/2026 | 1st | 28/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |