3
Moorish Castle
6yo Gelding · 11-11 · OR 97
Gowran Park · Racing TV Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 1) · 2m 4f 40y
#22
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#22
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 7.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-04 | Naas | BHA100 | 0 | ||
| 2026-02-03 | Fairyhouse | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-01-15 | Fairyhouse | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-12-28 | Limerick | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-04-25 | Kilbeggan | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-04-01 | Limerick | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 2341% of fieldRange 3-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength84%
Delivery trend +11.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 14th of 23. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/04/2025 | 9th | 28/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 25/04/2025 | 8th | 125/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 28/12/2025 | 6th | 150/1 | 0% | 58% | +0.58 |
| 15/01/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |