9
Mother Ship
6yo Mare · 11-3 · OR 89
Gowran Park · Racing TV Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 1) · 2m 4f 40y
#4
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#4
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength7%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C7.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Navan | BHA84 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-09-07 | Newton Abbot | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-19 | Sligo | BHA79 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Wexford | BHA81 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-16 | Killarney | BHA84 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Tramore | BHA85 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 2391% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +4.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 23. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09/2025 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 67% | -0.04 |
| 16/10/2025 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 76% | +0.50 |
| 12/05/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 53% | +0.06 |
| 30/05/2026 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 22% | +0.17 |
| 16/07/2026 | 10th | 14/1 | 26% | 31% | +0.04 |
| 07/08/2026 | 7th | 11/1 | 42% | 54% | +0.12 |
| 19/08/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 93% | +0.56 |
| 07/09/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 86% | +0.25 |
| 19/09/2026 | 1st | 11/1 | 42% | 100% | +0.58 |