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6

No Big Deal

6yo Gelding · 11-8 · OR 94

Gowran Park · Racing TV Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 1) · 2m 4f 40y

#11

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Successful at Clonmel (17f) last October. Lightly raced since and not disgraced after 5 months off with eighth of 16 to Mother Ship in handicap at Navan (19f, good to soft) 13 days ago. Enters calculations with that run under his belt.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength6%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 7.2)

Highest class: BHA64
Recent avg: C9.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA91 @ Wexford 29/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR 91 · 2m190y Goo 160 · below its mark29/08/2025 · OR 91 par29/0891OR 91BHA64 @ Clonmel 11/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 64 · 2m144y Sft 164 · beat its mark11/09/2025 · OR 64 parBHA91 @ Roscommon 29/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR 91 · 1m7f135y Goo 159 · below its mark29/09/2025 · OR 91 par29/0991OR 91BHA93 @ Clonmel 23/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 93 · 2m205y Yie 172 · beat its mark23/10/2025 · OR 93 parBHA99 @ Thurles 20/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 17 · OR 99 · 1m7f169y Yie 167 · below its mark20/11/2025 · OR 99 par20/1199OR 99BHA99 @ Clonmel 02/12/2025 · Pos 10th of 16 · OR 99 · 2m110y Hvy 167 · below its mark02/12/2025 · OR 99 parBHA98 @ Cork 19/03/2026 · Pos 9th of 22 · OR 98 · 2m1f20y Yie 168 · below its mark19/03/2026 · OR 98 par19/0398OR 98BHA97 @ Clonmel 14/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 16 · OR 97 · 2m216y Yie 165 · below its mark14/04/2026 · OR 97 parBHA95 @ Navan 19/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 16 · OR 95 · 2m3f Gd 163 · below its mark19/09/2026 · OR 95 par19/0995OR 95projClass-projected finish: 11th of 23
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-19NavanBHA958th8th0
2026-04-14ClonmelBHA978th8th0
2026-03-19CorkBHA989th9th0
2025-12-02ClonmelBHA9910th10th0
2025-11-20ThurlesBHA994th4th0
2025-10-23ClonmelBHA931st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/0823/1019/0319/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish16th of 2332% of fieldRange 10-23 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength19%

Delivery trend -1.8% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 16th of 23.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/08/20253rd7/282%85%+0.03
11/09/20252nd18/581%90%+0.09
29/09/20252nd10/382%93%+0.11
23/10/20251st10/1195%100%+0.05
20/11/20254th9/276%81%+0.05
02/12/202510th9/488%40%-0.48
19/03/20269th20/10%62%+0.62
14/04/20268th4/179%53%-0.26
19/09/20268th7/163%53%-0.10