18

Not So Proper

9yo Gelding · 10-7 · OR 79

Gowran Park · Racing TV Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 1) · 2m 4f 40y

#20

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#20

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Went with no encouragement returning from a huge absence (44 months) in handicap hurdles at Fairyhouse and Thurles this winter. Back from another layoff here and hard to warm to.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 12.0 /10 (raw 11.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Clonmel 03/03/2022 · Pos 11th of 17 · OR - · 2m2f152y Hvy 1583/03C8C8 @ Limerick 27/03/2022 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR - · 2m3f Goo 16627/03C8C8 @ Kilbeggan 21/04/2022 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR - · 1m7f30y Goo 16621/04C8C8 @ Kilbeggan 13/05/2022 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR - · 2m Goo 16613/05C8BHA89 @ Punchestown 24/05/2022 · Pos 16th of 19 · OR 89 · 2m115y Goo 162 · below its mark24/05/2022 · OR 89 par24/0589OR 89BHA81 @ Thurles 19/02/2026 · Pos 16th of 17 · OR 81 · 2m109y Sft 140 · below its mark19/02/2026 · OR 81 par19/0281OR 81projClass-projected finish: 23rd of 23
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-02-19ThurlesBHA8116th16th0
2026-01-15FairyhouseBHA820
2022-05-24PunchestownBHA8916th16th0
2022-05-13Kilbeggan?10th10th0
2022-04-21Kilbeggan?8th8th0
2022-03-27Limerick?10th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/0327/0321/0413/0524/0519/02
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish22nd of 235% of fieldRange 19-23 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength2%

Delivery trend -6.2% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 22nd of 23. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/03/202211th33/10%38%+0.38
27/03/202210th33/10%25%+0.25
21/04/20228th100/10%46%+0.46
13/05/202210th50/10%10%+0.10
24/05/202216th33/10%17%+0.17
19/02/202616th66/10%6%+0.06