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5yo Mare · 10-13 · OR 85

Gowran Park · Racing TV Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 1) · 2m 4f 40y

#18

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#18

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Lightly-raced maiden hurdler. 100/1 and tongue tied, well-held sixth of 11 in novice hurdle at Kilbeggan (19f, good) 29 days ago. Handicap debutante.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 6.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Limerick 28/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 2m Sft 16528/05C?C8 @ Roscommon 06/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR - · 2m4f125y Gd 1516/07C8C8 @ Ballinrobe 21/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 15 · OR - · 2m1f89y Gd 15121/07C8C8 @ Kilbeggan 03/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR - · 2m3f Goo 1593/09C8projClass-projected finish: 16th of 23
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-03Kilbeggan?6th6th0
2026-07-21Ballinrobe?8th8th0
2026-07-06Roscommon?6th6th0
2026-05-28Limerick?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/056/0721/073/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 2350% of fieldRange 1-15 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength76%

Delivery trend +14.6% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 23. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/05/20267th16/116%14%-0.02
06/07/20266th150/10%58%+0.58
21/07/20268th100/10%50%+0.50
03/09/20266th100/10%50%+0.50