20
Phildante
9yo Mare · 10-7 · OR 79
Gowran Park · Racing TV Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 1) · 2m 4f 40y
#8
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength6%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 6.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Galway | BHA79 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-24 | Ballinrobe | BHA79 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Wexford | BHA75 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | Limerick | BHA76 | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-09 | Sligo | BHA77 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Downpatrick | BHA78 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 2359% of fieldRange 4-23 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength41%
Delivery trend -2.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 23. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07/2025 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 92% | +0.66 |
| 11/08/2025 | 12th | 9/1 | 53% | 27% | -0.26 |
| 08/11/2025 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 25/11/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 67% | +0.51 |
| 22/05/2026 | 6th | 11/1 | 42% | 64% | +0.22 |
| 09/06/2026 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 79% | +0.36 |
| 23/07/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 24/08/2026 | 11th | 6/1 | 68% | 33% | -0.35 |
| 07/09/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 72% | +0.56 |